UK Budget Strains as Productivity Forecast Faces Downgrade

Britain's Office for Budget Responsibility may downgrade its productivity forecast, leading to fiscal challenges for Finance Minister Rachel Reeves. With expectations of increased tax pressures, the forecast downgrade could cause a significant gap in Reeves's budget plans ahead of her annual budget announcement on November 26.


Devdiscourse News Desk | Updated: 16-09-2025 23:26 IST | Created: 16-09-2025 23:26 IST
UK Budget Strains as Productivity Forecast Faces Downgrade
This image is AI-generated and does not depict any real-life event or location. It is a fictional representation created for illustrative purposes only.

Britain's budget watchdog is poised to lower its productivity outlook, intensifying fiscal pressures for Finance Minister Rachel Reeves as she prepares for her annual budget address on November 26, according to a report by the Financial Times on Tuesday.

The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), known for its optimistic past growth forecasts, is now likely to revise its projections downward, increasing speculation of impending tax hikes. Sources suggest a significant fiscal gap may be ahead, potentially impacting Reeves's efforts to balance fiscal targets.

Economists, including those from JP Morgan, predict a downgrade of 0.1-0.2 percentage points in the OBR's budget forecast, potentially costing public finances between 9 and 18 billion pounds annually. This adjustment could challenge Reeves's existing headroom and necessitate tougher fiscal measures.

(With inputs from agencies.)

Give Feedback