U.N. cuts global growth forecast to 2.5%, blames Middle East crisis

The United Nations on Tuesday cut its forecast for ​global economic growth, saying the Middle East crisis ​had reignited inflationary pressures and ‌heightened uncertainty. A U.N. ​press release summarizing the mid-year update to the global body's World Economic Situation and Prospects said : * Global GDP growth is forecast at ‌2.5% in 2026, compared with an estimated 3.0% in 2025, 0.2 percentage points below the January projection and well below pre-pandemic growth rates.

* A modest recovery is projected at 2.8% in 2027. * Solid labor ‌markets, resilient consumer demand, and AI-driven trade and investment are expected to provide support, but the downgrade ‌underscores a further weakening of a subdued global outlook.

* Surge in energy prices has delivered windfall gains for energy companies, but intensified cost pressures for households and businesses. * In developed economies, inflation is forecast to rise from 2.6 % in 2025 to 2.9% ⁠in 2026 and ​in developing economies from 4.2% ⁠to 5.2%.

* Fertilizer supplies have been disrupted, pushing up costs, which could reduce crop yields, putting upward pressure on food prices. * ⁠Global financial markets have remained resilient, but inflation expectations have driven short-term bond yields higher.

* The most severe damage ​is in Western Asia, where growth is projected to plunge from 3.6% to 1.4%, exacerbated ⁠by damage to infrastructure, trade, and tourism. * The United States is expected to remain comparatively resilient, with growth projected at 2.0 % ⁠in 2026, ​broadly steady from 2025 on strong household demand and tech investment.

* Europe is more exposed, with reliance on imported energy straining households and businesses. EU growth is projected to slow from 1.5% to 1.1% and ⁠in Britain from 1.4% to 0.7%. * China's diversified energy mix, sizable strategic reserves, and policy support ⁠are providing a buffer, ⁠with its growth projected to moderate from 5.0 % to 4.6 %.

* India's output is still expected to expand by 6.4 % against 7.5%. * In Africa, average growth is ‌projected to ‌ease slightly, from 4.2% to 3.9%.

(This story has not been edited by Devdiscourse staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)