Euro Zone Bond Markets React to Policy Meetings and Economic Data

Euro zone government bond yields saw an uptick on Tuesday as market participants turned their attention to imminent policy meetings by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. Simultaneously, key economic data from the U.S. and the euro area intensified investor focus.

The JOLTS data release caused economists to suggest that Monday's decrease in euro area borrowing costs might be premature. Markets had initially set expectations for a 25-basis-point rate cut in March 2026, potentially misinterpreting the European Central Bank's stance from last week's meeting.

While the sovereign bond market had little reaction to the recent U.S.-European Union trade agreement, markets priced a 68% likelihood of an ECB rate cut by December. The spread between Italian and German yields underscored investor sentiment, with minimal fluctuations in Germany's benchmark bond yields and stable short-term yields.

(With inputs from agencies.)