NHC STORM ADVISORY: major Hurricane flossie bringing gusty winds and rain to the southwestern coast of Mexico

Hurricane Flossie Intermediate Advisory Number 12A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062025

1100 PM MST Tue Jul 01 2025 ...MAJOR HURRICANE FLOSSIE BRINGING GUSTY WINDS AND RAIN TO THE

SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF Mexico... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM MST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION

----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.4N 107.9W

ABOUT 230 MI...370 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO Mexico ABOUT 340 MI...550 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS Mexico

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...962 MB...28.41 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS

-------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... • Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are

expected somewhere within the warning area. Interests elsewhere in southwestern Mexico should monitor the

progress of Flossie. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor

products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

---------------------- At 1100 PM MST (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Flossie was

located near latitude 18.4 North, longitude 107.9 West. Flossie is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A

west-northwestward to northwestward motion is anticipated during the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher gusts. Flossie is a Category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson

Hurricane Wind Scale. Some additional strengthening is possible tonight and Wednesday morning. Later Wednesday, steady to rapid

weakening is expected. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from

the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 962 mb (28.41 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

---------------------- Key messages for Hurricane Flossie can be found in the Tropical

Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP1 and WMO header WTPZ41 KNHC.

RAINFALL: Hurricane Flossie should produce additional rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches, with isolated maximum totals of 3 inches,

across coastal portions of the Mexican states of Michoacán, Colima, and Jalisco into Wednesday. This rainfall could lead to localized

flash flooding. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with

Hurricane Flossie, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at

hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?rainqpf WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within portions of the

warning area for the next few hours. SURF: Swells generated by Flossie will affect portions of the coast

of southwestern Mexico, and the Baja California peninsula during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening

surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY -------------

Next complete advisory at 200 AM MST.

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